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Don't let the basketball gods write Miami RedHawks' ending | Opinion

March 10, 2026 5 min read views
Don't let the basketball gods write Miami RedHawks' ending | Opinion
Story byCincinnati.com | The EnquirerDon't let the basketball gods write Miami RedHawks' ending | OpinionDennis Doyle, Opinion contributorTue, March 10, 2026 at 4:05 AM UTC·4 min read

The Miami RedHawks have spent the past four months building a dream, writing the script for a sequel to "Hoosiers." They are the last unbeaten team in America, carrying a perfect record into March in a sport that hasn’t seen anyone run the table in 50 years.

Not since Indiana’s 1975–76 season has a Division I team gone wire‑to‑wire without a blemish. And now here comes Miami, a MAC team of all things, daring to chase the ghost of the Hoosiers. Imagine Bobby Knight looking down and seeing this upstart from nowhere trying to share a record his team has guarded for half a century.

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Everybody loves Miami’s story − but love has never swayed a selection committee.

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So they’re going to the Dance, right? I mean, how could they not? Even if they stumble in Cleveland next week, surely an undefeated regular season − in 2026, in Division I basketball − guarantees a spot in the field.

Right?

The MAC's brutal one-bid reality

Miami RedHawks forward Almar Atlason (11), Miami RedHawks guard Eian Elmer (0) and Miami RedHawks guard Peter Suder (5) react after defeating Ohio Bobcats in the MAC conference final game at the Convocation Center in Athens, Ohio, on Friday, March 6, 2026.Miami RedHawks forward Almar Atlason (11), Miami RedHawks guard Eian Elmer (0) and Miami RedHawks guard Peter Suder (5) react after defeating Ohio Bobcats in the MAC conference final game at the Convocation Center in Athens, Ohio, on Friday, March 6, 2026.

No. Buckle up. Forget everything they’ve accomplished. The MAC is a one‑bid league, and has been for a quarter‑century. The last time the conference put more than one team in the NCAA Tournament was 1999, and the committee hasn’t selected a MAC at‑large team since then. That’s the historical gravity Miami is fighting. It doesn’t matter that they’ve been ranked. It doesn’t matter that they were the last unbeaten team in the country. In this league, you win the tournament, or you watch it on TV.

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Pete Gillen said it weeks ago in that breathless broadcaster voice of his: If Miami doesn’t win the MAC Tournament, they’re not getting in.

More: Miami RedHawks rank 20th in new AP Top 25 men's basketball poll

The basis for Gillen’s comment is this. Miami’s résumé is the same one the committee has ignored for a quarter‑century: zero Quad 1 games, zero Quad 1 wins, a single Quad 2 win, and a non‑conference strength of schedule buried in the 300s − the statistical kiss of death for any mid‑major hoping for an at‑large bid.

Their efficiency metrics sit outside the at‑large neighborhood, with KenPom in the 80s and opponents ranked deep into the 200s and 300s dragging down every number that matters. It’s not that Miami isn’t good; it’s that their profile looks exactly like every dominant mid‑major the committee has left home since 1999.

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Historically, the committee doesn’t select stories. It selects résumés. And there will be teams with seven or eight losses, teams that never sniffed the Top 25, teams that spent January beating and losing to each other in the middle of the Big Ten or SEC standings − and their résumés will look stronger than Miami’s. They’ll have Quad 1 wins. They’ll have top‑100 metrics. They’ll have schedules that don’t make the committee feel like they’re evaluating a Division III powerhouse.

And here’s where the basketball gods come in.

One bad afternoon could end everything

Miami (OH) RedHawks guard Luke Skaljac (3) and Toledo Rockets guard Sonny Wilson (3) battle for possession of the ball in the first half of a NCAA men’s basketball game between the Miami Redhawks and Toledo Rockets, Tuesday, March 3, 2026, at Millett Hall in Oxford, Oh.Miami (OH) RedHawks guard Luke Skaljac (3) and Toledo Rockets guard Sonny Wilson (3) battle for possession of the ball in the first half of a NCAA men’s basketball game between the Miami Redhawks and Toledo Rockets, Tuesday, March 3, 2026, at Millett Hall in Oxford, Oh.

Would they really be so cruel as to let Miami run the table for four months, become the last unbeaten team in America, and then deny them the one thing the system actually rewards? Would they really allow a 28–0 team − something college basketball hasn’t seen in years − to lose on a random Friday in Cleveland and leave its fate in the hands of a committee that has never, not once, rescued a MAC team?

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Because the nightmare is simple: Miami could lose to a team they beat by 25 in January. A team that finished fourth in the league. A team that suddenly can’t miss for 40 minutes. One of those freakish, once‑a‑season afternoons when the scoreboard feels rigged, and the basketball gods are laughing. And that team − the one Miami embarrassed two months ago − would take the MAC’s automatic bid and head to the NCAA Tournament as a 15 or 16 seed.

More: Miami RedHawks' Travis Steele still wearing Selection Sunday Speedo

And Miami? Miami would become something college basketball has never seen: an undefeated team left out of the field.

That’s the absurdity of mid‑major basketball. You can dominate for four months and still have your season decided by a team that gets hot for one afternoon.

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So do what fans have always done when logic fails, and the margins get thin: Light the incense candles, clutch the lucky beads, consult whatever Ouija board you keep in the back of the closet. Because the basketball gods have a wicked sense of humor.

Just don’t let them write this ending.

Dennis DoyleDennis Doyle

Dennis Doyle lives in Anderson Township and is a member of the Enquirer Board of Contributors.

This article originally appeared on Cincinnati Enquirer: The Miami RedHawks' perfect season has one brutal catch

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